Still at Square One - or Not?

Another Wednesday. Now what?

It looks like it ain't over till it's over. Obama's big win in North Carolina came as expected. Clinton's bare bones win in Indiana says she's not going to have an easy road in spite of her optimism. Obama was the clear winner yesterday even though Clinton will probably not agree. (Interesting note- Obama congratulated Clinton for an Indiana win even before anyone but CBS News had projected a winner. After that her lead dropped to the bare bones win it became.)

Yes it was close. With 84% reporting only 38,000 votes (4%) separated the two in Indiana. No one was calling it at that point (except CBS, I believe.) That says a great deal about how close it really was. They didn't know much. At that point Obama had to win 57% in Lake Co. Indiana to move the results. Mathematically it was still possible since he had already won 62% in Indianapolis. It was still undecided when our editions of the Twin Cities papers went to bed last night. Quite a race.

So where then are we? One projection I saw said that when all is said and done in June Obama will be about 100 delegates shy of the nomination, 150 ahead of Clinton.

Which means that after last night, barring something big and magnanimous from Clinton the decision will head to the back rooms and board rooms of the Democratic National Committee. Can enough Super Delegates be convinced by Obama to assure him the nomination? Will Clinton manage to convince enough of those same Super Delegates that she has proven that Obama can't win in the fall because, look, he can't even beat Hillary? My guess is that there will be a few more Super delegates move to him this week. His major movement in Indiana will go a long way. But will it be enough to give DNC chair Howard Dean the leverage he needs to move this race away from that Square One it seems to be on?

Confusion reigns although perhaps less than on Monday.

But then again remember, it is the Democratic Party.